Wild Card or Mild Card? While Iran was Sleeping in International Gas Markets

f kerry b 20150724 200x200In September, I had the pleasure one week of meeting several Iranians at an international oil conference and two weeks later enjoying a Shale Gas Barbecue in Wyoming County Pennsylvania. Who can think shale gas bad if it can have such a positive effect on everything from pulled pork to international gas prices? Perhaps next year we can have one big event, halal options available of course. Why can’t we all just get along? In Pennsylvania, and even more so in Texas, a moderate liberal like me can get along just fine if we talk about geology and gas and stay away from mentioning Obama or guns. Similarly, the differences I have with Iranians are legion, although I’m struck how the essential civility, courteousness and business like behaviour now extends to Iran.

I get around a lot, if not as much as I’d like given various (temporary) health issues this year, but one place I’d love to hobble over to is next weeks Gas Exporting Countries Forum in Teheran. The changes happening at the GECF this year are nothing short of amazing. How else but to use such an overused adjective? Breathtaking and stupefying aren’t sufficient. It helps to look back at the GECF of only a a handful of years ago. Natural gas has reached, in large, but not the the only, part, due to the abundance of US shales, a true inflection point and the evolution of GECF thinking has aligned with today’s reality.  This willingness to cast off outdated concepts, is ironically enough, still lacking among many who I otherwise consider as my people on the left of UK politics. The quietly emerging change brewing there is for another time. Back to 2010, when the head of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum was Russia’s Leonid Bokhanovsky:

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How natural gas is delivering Paris 2015 environmentalists’ goals. And why it’s driving some of them nuts.

 oops mistake accident 1 200x200Natural Gas as The Accidental Environmentalist 

Environmentalist are heading to Paris making lots of noise, but the reality is that many of them will accomplish far more next month than they could have dreamt of at Copenhagen in 2009. The world is becoming more efficient, CO2 is falling faster than predicted and the renewables sector is moving from strength to strength. The two largest emitters, the US and China are on the same page in an all of the above solution. In short, environmentalists are fighting a straw man, if not even pushing on an open door.

Continue reading How natural gas is delivering Paris 2015 environmentalists’ goals. And why it’s driving some of them nuts.

Why I killed @shalegasexpert. Viva @ReImagineGas

With immediate effect my Twitter name will no longer be @shalegasexpert.  From now on, you can follow me via @ReImagineGas. Here’s why:

extinctionLike many doubters, I didn’t think much of Twitter five years ago when someone set up the account for me. A year later I discovered I had 350 followers after never using it.  It’s just reached 8400 followers, the majority in the USA and the UK, and, like me, spread thin but wide internationally.

But the name has outlived it’s usefulness. It did perhaps grate on some, and I’ve never meant to be more than an evangelist for shale gas. Neither I nor anyone else can be an expert in everything.  After all, almost every “expert”, sympathetic or not to natural gas, considered shale gas extraction impossible on technical, commercial, environmental or acceptance grounds.

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